Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 64.9%
Pronosticadores
9
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 45 minutos
Retrasado29 oct 25, 18:53 UTC31 dic 26, 19:46 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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Kalshi$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
PolymarketReglas
I've submitted one design to the relevant market so far, but I'm hoping to get in two or three more when I have time.
- Any one of my designs has to get approved by Genzy or an Admin or requested by another mod to be put up for contention and it has to be chosen for the shop in the end for this to resolve YES.
- It's unclear when the second condition will be known, so this close date was chosen for convenience and might change.
- If my design is announced as chosen (or all my designs aren't included in the full set of those chosen), that's sufficient to resolve even if the merch shop is delayed significantly or what merch is available is different than what was announced.
- My submitted designs:
- Cranes In Form (repeating pattern)
Mercados abiertos
Business & CorporatePOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+5.5pt96%
- $25M+8.5pt94%
- $50M+13.0pt87%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 351,4 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 351,4 mil €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+6.0pt52%
- 65-89+24.5pt45.1%
- 90-114-2.5pt2.9%
+7 resultados más
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA+1.0pt78.4%
- Apple+0.6pt13.7%
- Alphabet6.9%
+5 resultados más
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 180-199-1.0pt18.2%
- 200-21918.2%
- 160-179+1.0pt14.1%
+23 resultados más
KALSHIWashington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Above 80,000 jobs98%
- Above 81,000 jobs95%
- Above 82,000 jobs+3.0pt92%
+10 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 183,7 mil €
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of September?
- NVIDIA+0.3pt98%
- Apple-0.3pt2%
- Alphabet0%
+6 resultados más
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- Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will any of my designs be chosen for the Mana Merch Shop by end 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 65% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will any of my designs be chosen for the Mana Merch Shop by end 2026??
- Está previsto que Will any of my designs be chosen for the Mana Merch Shop by end 2026? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will any of my designs be chosen for the Mana Merch Shop by end 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: I've submitted one design to the relevant market so far, but I'm hoping to get in two or three more when I have time.