Will an aeroplane take off from Heathrow's Third Runway before these dates?
19.2 pts (24h)One-OffNegocios y empresas3a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
1st January 2045 52.1%-19.2ptLíder entre 5 opciones
1st January 2045 52.1%-19.2ptPronosticadores
11
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
-28.2 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 minutos
30 ene 25, 15:49 UTC31 dic 29, 23:59 UTC
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KalshiReglas
Definition of a third runway: any permanent runway structure built at Heathrow Airport which is NOT Runway 09L/27R OR Runway 09R/27L and which does NOT function as e.g. a temporary replacement for the existing two runways while they are not in service.
- That is, all three runways must be in active service for this to count.
- Each answer resolves NO if no aeroplane has taken off from a third runway at Heathrow Airport by 00:01 on that date.
- On the date that any aeroplane takes off from a third runway, all outstanding answers resolve YES.