Will "Ada Palmer: Inventing the Renaissance" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

CardanoOne-Off1a

Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptable

Pronóstico comunitario actual

No 74.8%

Pronosticadores

Tipo de pregunta

binary

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 13 horas

Desactualizado

27 ene 26, 20:31 UTC1 feb 28, 0:00 UTC

Resultado24hProbabilidad

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As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.

Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2026 Review resolves in February 2028.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post Ada Palmer: Inventing the Renaissance is one of the top fifty posts of the 2026 Review, and 0% otherwise.
The market was initialized to 14%.

Mercados abiertos

Cardano

KALSHI

Which cryptocurrencies will the Treasury purchase during Trump's term?

Bitcoin+3.0ptHistorial guardado de 24hCompra–venta guardada8%–16%Recopilado: 10 oct 2026, 16:50 UTC
CardanoCompra–venta guardada0%–7%Recopilado: 10 oct 2026, 16:50 UTC
XRP-87.0ptHistorial guardado de 24hCompra–venta guardada2%–11%Recopilado: 10 oct 2026, 16:50 UTC

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Volumen total: 3,3 mil €
Volumen 24h: 582,2 €

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Charles Hoskinson (co-founder of Cardano and Ethereum) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

No89.4%
Yes10.6%

Volumen total: 609,3 €
Volumen 24h: —

MANIFOLD MARKETS

What will be the initial capitalization of the US national strategic crypto reserve?

Between $10 billion and $50 billion48.5%
Between $1 billion and $10 billion17.8%
Between $50 billion and $100 billion14%

+3 resultados más

Volumen total: 228,5 €

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Preguntas frecuentes

¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will "Ada Palmer: Inventing the Renaissance" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review??: Manifold Markets cotiza No al 74.8% a fecha de 10 de octubre de 2026.
¿Cuándo se resuelve Will "Ada Palmer: Inventing the Renaissance" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review??: Está previsto que Will "Ada Palmer: Inventing the Renaissance" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? se resuelva el 1 de febrero de 2028.
¿Cómo se liquida Will "Ada Palmer: Inventing the Renaissance" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review??: Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.

Usa este mercado en código o en un agente de IA

JSON gratis de este mercado, sin clave de API:

https://api.coinrithm.com/api/prediction-markets/events/manifold/will-ada-palmer-inventing-the-renai

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https://mcp.coinrithm.com/mcp

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Will "Ada Palmer: Inventing the Renaissance" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Mercados abiertos

Which cryptocurrencies will the Treasury purchase during Trump's term?

Will Charles Hoskinson (co-founder of Cardano and Ethereum) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

What will be the initial capitalization of the US national strategic crypto reserve?

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Preguntas frecuentes

Usa este mercado en código o en un agente de IA

Mercados abiertos

Which cryptocurrencies will the Treasury purchase during Trump's term?

Will Charles Hoskinson (co-founder of Cardano and Ethereum) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

What will be the initial capitalization of the US national strategic crypto reserve?