¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will a utility-scale solar PPA be made for <$10/MWh by the end of 2026??

Manifold Markets cotiza No al 69.1% a fecha de 26 de octubre de 2026.

Will a utility-scale solar PPA be made for <$10/MWh by the end of 2026?

Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptable

Pronóstico comunitario actual

No 69.1%

Pronosticadores

Tipo de pregunta

binary

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 5 horas

Desactualizado

9 jul 23, 6:14 UTC1 ene 27, 7:59 UTC

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Reglas

Will any credible source report a purchase power agreement (PPA) of <$10/MWh for a >5 MW solar energy installation?

The lowest currently reported price I am aware of is ~$20/MWh.
PPAs specified as <5 years in duration will not count for this market to resolve.
A PPA of unspecified duration will be assumed sufficient for resolution, since PPAs are typically for terms of >10 years.