Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 59.4%
Pronosticadores
25
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 horas
Desactualizado16 dic 23, 19:15 UTC1 ene 31, 5:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Reglas
I will resolve YES if a novel computing medium (analog, optical, quantum, ect.) computer component enters market and is available and received by consumers by December 31, 2030.
- A novel computing medium shall be defined as any computing machine not utilizing silicone (or other semiconductor) based transistors.
- The consumer device can be either a component (GPU, Accelerator Card, ect.), or a standalone device (Mobile Phone, Wearable, ect.), but must be purchasable for $2000, 2023 purchasing power.
- Additionally Resolves YES, if any of the below markets resolve YES.
- https://manifold.markets/henryw/will-the-first-optical-computer-be?r=THVjYXNUaGVsZW4
- https://manifold.markets/AidenPetersen/will-we-see-analog-accelerators-in
Mercados abiertos
Tech
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 23, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $82,250 or above99%
- $82,000 or above99%
- $76,000 or above99%
+77 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,5 M €
KALSHIETH price range on Sep 25, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $3,300 to 3,339.9990%
- $1,540 to 1,579.99+89.0pt90%
- $1,539.99 or below90%
+47 resultados más
- Volumen total
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- Volumen 24h
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 25, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $78,000 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $77,500 or above99%
+47 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 2 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 554,6 mil €
KALSHIETH price on Sep 25, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $1,940 or above99%
- $2,180 or above99%
- $2,140 or above99%
+47 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 811,5 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 379,5 mil €
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- 78° to 79°+25.0pt48%
- 80° to 81°+1.0pt39.2%
- 82° to 83°-18.0pt6.9%
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- Volumen total
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 23, 2026?
- Philadelphia+83.0pt99%
- Miami+11.0pt99%
- Washington DC+10.0pt99%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will a novel computing medium enter consumer electronics by EYO 2030??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 59.4% a fecha de 23 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will a novel computing medium enter consumer electronics by EYO 2030??
- Está previsto que Will a novel computing medium enter consumer electronics by EYO 2030? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2031.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will a novel computing medium enter consumer electronics by EYO 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: I will resolve YES if a novel computing medium (analog, optical, quantum, ect.) computer component enters market and is available and received by consumers by December 31, 2030.