Will a majority of US electricity production come from non-fossil fuel sources before the end of 2026?
WeatherOne-Off4mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 94.6%
Pronosticadores
15
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 horas
Desactualizado6 oct 23, 20:45 UTC1 feb 27, 7:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Which party will hold the majority in the US Senate of the 120th Congress in January 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill any Antarctic Treaty signatory announce plans for exploratory fossil fuel surveys by end of 2027?
FutuurWhat conservatives will come out as LGBT in 2026? (Add Answers)
Manifold MarketsUS electricity price in August
KalshiBy when will in-space electricity production exceed surface production?
Manifold MarketsWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
KalshiReglas
Resolved according to the same source that Our World In Data uses, which is Ember Climate.
- "non-fossil fuel sources" exclude coal, gas, oil, and "other fossil," and include everything else: hydro, bioenergy, nuclear, solar, wind, and "other renewables," all per Ember Climate's categories.
- According to these data, electricity production in Terawatt hours (TWh) by source in the United States for 2022 was as follows:
- [image]The percentage of electricity production from non-fossil fuel sources for 2022 was therefore 40.48%.
- If any of the next 4 years' annualized electricity production data (2023, 2024, 2025, 2026) show that the sum of non-fossil fuel sources makeup a majority of electricity production in the United States, this question resolves YES.
- The original Ember Climate data can be found here in an excel sheet.
Mercados abiertos
WeatherKALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt25%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 232,5 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 227,3 mil €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Minneapolis+6.0pt99%
- Houston+41.0pt71%
- Miami-6.0pt69%
+19 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 186,1 mil €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- 92° to 93°+36.0pt81.7%
- 90° to 91°-29.0pt7.7%
- 94° or above+3.0pt7.7%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+25.0pt68.2%
- 82° to 83°-12.0pt24.3%
- 79° or below-3.0pt4.7%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
- 27°C+60.0pt93.9%
- 28°C-13.5pt6.1%
- 21°C or below-1.4pt0%
+8 resultados más
KALSHIWill a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?
- No89%
- Yes-4.0pt11%
- Volumen total
- 66,7 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 28,6 mil €
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Munich on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 8, 2026?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 9?
- Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Philadelphia on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Dallas on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Houston on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Boston on Sep 8, 2026?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will a majority of US electricity production come from non-fossil fuel sources before the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 95% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will a majority of US electricity production come from non-fossil fuel sources before the end of 2026??
- Está previsto que Will a majority of US electricity production come from non-fossil fuel sources before the end of 2026? se resuelva el 1 de febrero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will a majority of US electricity production come from non-fossil fuel sources before the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolved according to the same source that Our World In Data uses, which is Ember Climate.