Will a majority of US electricity production come from non-fossil fuel sources before the end of 2026?
ClimaOne-Off3m
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 94.7%
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Actualizado hace 14 minutos
6 oct 23, 20:45 UTC1 feb 27, 7:59 UTC
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KalshiReglas
Resolved according to the same source that Our World In Data uses, which is Ember Climate.
- "non-fossil fuel sources" exclude coal, gas, oil, and "other fossil," and include everything else: hydro, bioenergy, nuclear, solar, wind, and "other renewables," all per Ember Climate's categories.
- According to these data, electricity production in Terawatt hours (TWh) by source in the United States for 2022 was as follows:
- [image]The percentage of electricity production from non-fossil fuel sources for 2022 was therefore 40.48%.
- If any of the next 4 years' annualized electricity production data (2023, 2024, 2025, 2026) show that the sum of non-fossil fuel sources makeup a majority of electricity production in the United States, this question resolves YES.
- The original Ember Climate data can be found here in an excel sheet.
