Will a major streaming service adapt A Fire Upon the Deep by Vernor Vinge into a television series by 01/01/2032?
Eventos corporativosOne-OffEntretenimiento5a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No. 76.9%Líder entre 10 opciones
No. 76.9%Pronosticadores
3
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 horas
Desactualizado28 nov 24, 3:18 UTC2 ene 32, 6:59 UTC
Tendencias
Reglas
Background "A Fire Upon the Deep" is a critically acclaimed 1992 science fiction novel by Vernor Vinge that won the Hugo Award for Best Novel.
- The book is known for its complex world-building, unique alien species, and exploration of different zones of thought in the galaxy.
- Despite its popularity in science fiction circles, no streaming service has yet announced plans to adapt the novel.
- Resolution Criteria This market will resolve YES for the streaming service that first releases a television series adaptation of "A Fire Upon the Deep" before January 1, 2032.
- For resolution purposes:
- A "television series" must be a scripted, episodic show (not a film or miniseries)
