Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptable
Pronóstico comunitario actual
No 87.5%
Pronosticadores
15
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 horas
Desactualizado
5 ago 26, 4:05 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Resultado24hProbabilidad
Reglas
Resolves YES if a humanoid robot (a robot that resembles a human and moves similar to a human) beats a ranked top 10 APT mens tennis player by the end of 2027.
Otherwise, resolves NO.
The robot needs to play a full match with the player and only be recharged (no battery replacement) as often as the player does.
Note that this condition may change a teeny bit according to popular opinion.
The success must be reported by a credible source to be counted.
If nothing is reported by the end of 2027, this market resolves NO.
¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will a humanoid robot beat a ranked top #10 tennis player by EOY 2027??
Manifold Markets cotiza No al 88% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
¿Cuándo se resuelve Will a humanoid robot beat a ranked top #10 tennis player by EOY 2027??
Está previsto que Will a humanoid robot beat a ranked top #10 tennis player by EOY 2027? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2027.
¿Cómo se liquida Will a humanoid robot beat a ranked top #10 tennis player by EOY 2027??
Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves YES if a humanoid robot (a robot that resembles a human and moves similar to a human) beats a ranked top 10 APT mens tennis player by the end of 2027.