Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actual
SpaceX 58.9%Líder entre 4 opciones
SpaceX 58.9%Pronosticadores
3
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 horas
Desactualizado13 oct 26, 10:02 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Reglas
This market resolves to the launch provider responsible for the last orbital launch attempt worldwide with a liftoff time in calendar year 2026 (UTC).
- Orbital launch attempt: any launch intended to reach Earth orbit or beyond, including failures.
- Suborbital flights and tests not intended to reach orbit are excluded.
- Launch provider: the company or agency operating the launch vehicle, classified by the country where it is headquartered.
- Launch site, customer and payload don’t matter.
- For example, a Rocket Lab Electron launch from New Zealand counts as “Other American provider”.
