Manifold MarketsCerradoSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado se resolvió: August 13 (69.7%)
Resuelto: 13 ago 2026, 15:16
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Pronóstico comunitario actualAugust 13 69.7%Líder entre 5 opciones
Pronosticadores
1
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+80.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 días
Desactualizado11 ago 26, 1:0513 ago 26, 15:16
Cronología de Probabilidad
August 111.9%
August 124.3%
August 1369.7%
August 1417.1%
Other7%
69.7%
17.1%
7%
4.3%
1.9%
Reglas
Resolution source: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2026/
- Subtropical storm also counts.
- Resolves to the UTC time written in the advisory text.
- N/A if does not form in 2026.
- Will add days to the answers as needed.
Mercados abiertos
Weather
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Aug 21, 2026?
- 82° to 83°+15.0pt39.3%
- 80° to 81°-14.0pt29%
- 84° or above+21.0pt22.4%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 94,4 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 93,7 mil €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Aug 21, 2026?
- Boston+24.0pt99%
- Las Vegas99%
- Chicago+16.0pt90%
+17 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 94,5 mil €
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Aug 21, 2026?
- 77° to 78°+17.0pt48%
- 76° or below-11.0pt28.4%
- 79° to 80°+4.0pt16.7%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Aug 21, 2026?
- 92° to 93°+15.0pt61.8%
- 94° to 95°-2.0pt18.6%
- 90° to 91°-3.0pt13.7%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIHighest temperature in Las Vegas on Aug 21, 2026?
- 108° to 109°54.1%
- 106° to 107°-29.0pt23.9%
- 110° or above+7.0pt11%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 25,4 mil €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on August 22?
- 34°C+15.5pt60.6%
- 35°C+0.5pt32.7%
- 33°C-12.8pt4.8%
+8 resultados más
- Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 22?
- Consecutive days of average temperature in Austin above 90°F - week of Aug 18, 2026
- Highest temperature in Philadelphia on Aug 21, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Seattle on Aug 21, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Houston on Aug 21, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on August 23?
- Highest temperature in Oklahoma City on Aug 21, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Aug 21, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Wellington on August 22?
- Highest temperature in Paris on August 22?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de When will Tropical Storm Lala form? (CP)?
- Manifold Markets cotiza August 13 al 70% a fecha de 14 de agosto de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve When will Tropical Storm Lala form? (CP)?
- Está previsto que When will Tropical Storm Lala form? (CP) se resuelva el 13 de agosto de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida When will Tropical Storm Lala form? (CP)?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution source: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2026/