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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. China
  3. When will the Long March 10 rocket first reach orbit? (Quarters)
Manifold Markets

When will the Long March 10 rocket first reach orbit? (Quarters)

ChinaCustom3a
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsSin KYC
Pronóstico comunitario actual
Manifold Markets
2026 Q1 1.1%
Líder entre 9 opciones
Pronosticadores

5

Tipo de pregunta

multiple choice

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado anteayer

Desactualizado
19 ago 25, 11:5731 dic 29, 23:59

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Resultado elegido

2026 Q11%

Reglas

The Long March 10 is an evolution of the Long March 5 and is primarily intended to enable China's crewed lunar landings.

Manifold Markets
  • This question includes the Long March 10A.
  • Update 2026-01-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Whether Long March 10B will be included in this market depends on whether it is genuinely the same rocket with a different engine and fuel package, or a new rocket with the same name.
  • The creator will make this determination when more information becomes available.
  • Update 2026-02-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market now includes the Long March 10B variant.

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Reglas

The Long March 10 is an evolution of the Long March 5 and is primarily intended to enable China's crewed lunar landings.

Manifold Markets
  • This question includes the Long March 10A.
  • Update 2026-01-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Whether Long March 10B will be included in this market depends on whether it is genuinely the same rocket with a different engine and fuel package, or a new rocket with the same name.
  • The creator will make this determination when more information becomes available.
  • Update 2026-02-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market now includes the Long March 10B variant.