¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de What would be true about the next official auction done on Manifold??

Manifold Markets cotiza The winner of the auction has a net worth of over 20k Mana al 73.9% a fecha de 13 de octubre de 2026.

What would be true about the next official auction done on Manifold?

Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptable

Pronóstico comunitario actual

The winner of the auction has a net worth of over 20k Mana 73.9%

Líder entre 9 opciones

Pronosticadores

Tipo de pregunta

multiple choice

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Cambio 7d

0.0 pts

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 11 horas

Desactualizado

21 mar 24, 2:05 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Reglas

See the last Mana auction, done on 2023 April 1st https://manifold.markets/mana-auction (let me know if I missed other official auctions)

Only official auction held by Manifold would count.
To avoid ambiguity around what counts as a Manifold official auction, the auction would only count if the auction winner is paying above 1000 Mana to win the auction
An auction done on official manifold events, such as Manifest, would also count.
(This rules out arguments on how boosting your markets is, in some sense, an auction for ads)