¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de US solar capacity reaches 500 GWdc before 2030??

Manifold Markets cotiza No al 55.2% a fecha de 8 de octubre de 2026.

¿Cuándo se resuelve US solar capacity reaches 500 GWdc before 2030??

Está previsto que US solar capacity reaches 500 GWdc before 2030? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2029.

Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptable

Pronóstico comunitario actual

No 55.2%

Pronosticadores

Tipo de pregunta

binary

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 8 horas

Desactualizado

21 nov 25, 13:10 UTC31 dic 29, 23:59 UTC

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Reglas

Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that cumulative installed U.S. solar PV capacity reached at least 500 GWdc before January 1st 2030.

For the purposes of this market:
“Cumulative installed U.S. solar PV capacity” refers to the total nameplate direct‑current (DC) capacity of all grid‑connected solar photovoltaic systems in the United States (utility‑scale, community, commercial, and residential) that are in service and counted as installed by the end of calendar year 2029.
The primary reference for resolution should be the cumulative capacity figures in SEIA / Wood Mackenzie’s US Solar Market Insight (Year‑in‑Review or Q4 report).
If that report clearly states that year‑end 2029 U.S. solar PV capacity was ≥ 500 GWdc, this market resolves YES.
If it clearly states it was < 500 GWdc, this market resolves NO.