This is my 47th day. I have 16 referrals to Manifold Markets. Will I have 20 by August 4, 2026 (8/4/26)?

One-Off

Manifold MarketsCerradoSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptable

Este mercado se resolvió: Yes (58.7%)

Resuelto: 31 jul 2026, 13:15

Resolución verificada por el proveedor

CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.

Pronóstico comunitario actual

Sí 58.7%

Pronosticadores

Tipo de pregunta

binary

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 13 días

Desactualizado

9 jul 26, 19:5831 jul 26, 13:15

Tendencias

Sí

58.7%

41.3%

Reglas

Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if the creator's Manifold Markets account has accumulated 20 or more total referrals by August 4, 2026, at 11:59 PM PDT.
It resolves to NO if the total referral count is 19 or fewer at that deadline.
The creator will resolve this market using the referral stats page on their Manifold account.
The creator has been a Manifold user for 47 days and has successfully referred 16 users to the platform.
They need 4 more referrals to reach their target of 20 by the deadline of August 4, 2026.