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The Ministry for the Future Predictions: Will a Heatwave Kill More Than a Million around the world by 2040?

ClimaOne-Off13a

Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptable

Pronóstico comunitario actual

No 70.1%

Pronosticadores

Tipo de pregunta

binary

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 58 minutos

Retrasado

8 feb 24, 20:56 UTC1 ene 40, 4:59 UTC

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Reglas

Based on the horrifying open for The Ministry for the Future by Kim Stanley Robinson.

Resolves Yes if a credible outlet reports >1 million deaths from heat exhaustion in a single heatwave.

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The Ministry for the Future Predictions: Will a Heatwave Kill More Than a Million around the world by 2040?

The Ministry for the Future Predictions: Will a Heatwave Kill More Than a Million around the world by 2040?

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