Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualPat Scott @Stralor 33.4%Líder entre 12 opciones
Pronosticadores
64
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+1.4 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 horas
Desactualizado3 ago 26, 16:44 UTC30 dic 27, 16:14 UTC
Tendencias
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Reglas
My company is hiring.
- We've mostly given up on traditional application pipelines, there's too much AI spam and lying on resumes.
- Robin Hanson says that hiring is the killer app of prediction markets, so let's try it?
- I work for a growth-stage fintech company innovating new ways to prevent fraud.
- We're based in New York, though most of our employees are fully remote.
- Positions are flexible; we're looking to hire people with a technical bent who are generally competent and excited to solve problems.
Mercados abiertos
Business & Corporate
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+5.5pt96%
- $25M+8.5pt94%
- $50M+13.0pt87%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 351,4 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 351,4 mil €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+6.0pt52%
- 65-89+24.5pt45.1%
- 90-114-2.5pt2.9%
+7 resultados más
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA+1.0pt78.4%
- Apple+0.6pt13.7%
- Alphabet6.9%
+5 resultados más
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 180-199-1.0pt18.2%
- 200-21918.2%
- 160-179+1.0pt14.1%
+23 resultados más
KALSHIWashington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Above 80,000 jobs98%
- Above 81,000 jobs95%
- Above 82,000 jobs+3.0pt92%
+10 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 183,7 mil €
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of September?
- NVIDIA+0.3pt98%
- Apple-0.3pt2%
- Alphabet0%
+6 resultados más
- Boeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Illinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026
- California FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026
- Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
- 3rd Largest Company end of September?
- Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Should we hire you? [Job-finding market]?
- Manifold Markets cotiza Pat Scott @Stralor al 33% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Should we hire you? [Job-finding market]?
- Está previsto que Should we hire you? [Job-finding market] se resuelva el 30 de diciembre de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Should we hire you? [Job-finding market]?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: My company is hiring.