Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualCrypto ETFs singled out with new restrictions 49.8%Líder entre 4 opciones
Pronosticadores
4
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
-0.2 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 horas
Desactualizado2 sept 26, 18:26 UTC2 sept 27, 3:59 UTC
Tendencias
Activos Sensibles al Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 USD at any point before December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the gold price drop below $3.5k/ounce in 2026?
Manifold MarketsCrypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?
LimitlessWill the Clarity Act become law?
KalshiCrypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?
PolymarketClarity Act will pass in September
Manifold MarketsReglas
Resolve at the time of publication on sec.gov if earlier than the deadline (September 1st, 2027); "proposed rule" means a Commission release with that action line, not staff action.
- Fine prints:
- the named outcome YES if a proposed rule lowers the existing leverage cap under Rule 18f-4, restricts or bans single-stock strategies, or imposes new investor-eligibility requirements specific to them.
- Current 18f-4 limits staying in place resolves NO.
- the named outcome YES if a proposed rule would lengthen the current 60/75-day automatic approval window for any ETFs, or let the SEC pause a launch on its own initiative.
- the named outcome YES if a proposed rule, or a Commission statement/interpretive release, specifically restricts or imposes extra conditions on ETFs whose principal strategy is holding crypto assets.
Mercados abiertos
CryptoKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,000 or above99%
- $75,250 or above99%
- $69,500 or above99%
+77 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 751,5 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 747,1 mil €
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 8?
- 68,000100%
- 70,000100%
- 72,000+0.4pt100%
+8 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 971,5 mil €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
- $68,500 or above97%
+47 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 923,6 mil €
POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit in September?
- ↑ 80,000+31.4pt100%
- ↓ 77,500100%
- ↑ 77,500100%
+22 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
- ↓ 60,000+10.4pt100%
- ↑ 80,000+11.9pt100%
- ↑ 75,000+30.4pt100%
+43 resultados más
POLYMARKETWhat price will Ethereum hit in 2026?
- ↑ 2,500+18.4pt100%
- ↑ 2,250+42.5pt100%
- ↑ 2,000+13.4pt100%
+27 resultados más
- $LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- BTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 9am EDT?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 9?
- Ethereum above ___ on September 8?
- What price will Bitcoin hit September 7-13?
- What price will Ethereum hit in September?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- What price will Bitcoin hit on September 8?
- Bitcoin Up or Down on September 8?
Criptos relacionadas
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de The SEC decision on novel ETFs?
- Manifold Markets cotiza Crypto ETFs singled out with new restrictions al 50% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve The SEC decision on novel ETFs?
- Está previsto que The SEC decision on novel ETFs se resuelva el 2 de septiembre de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida The SEC decision on novel ETFs?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolve at the time of publication on sec.gov if earlier than the deadline (September 1st, 2027); "proposed rule" means a Commission release with that action line, not staff action.