Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 68.7%
Pronosticadores
10
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 horas
Desactualizado29 nov 25, 14:57 UTC31 dic 39, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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KalshiReglas
Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that, before January 1st 2030, a high‑budget, theatrically released Batman movie explicitly portraying Bruce Wayne/Batman as gay will be released before January 1st 2040 (or has already been released).
- What counts as “strong evidence”?
- Strong evidence (before 2030) includes any of the following:
- The movie is actually released and meets all the criteria below.
- Principal photography has begun on a movie clearly marketed as a major Batman film, with reputable trade outlets and/or official studio materials explicitly stating that this version of Bruce Wayne/Batman is gay/queer and the film is intended for a wide, blockbuster‑scale release.
- A widely covered studio announcement (e.g. press release, investor presentation, or major‑trade exclusive plus follow‑up confirmation) describes a big‑budget Batman movie with an openly gay/queer Bruce Wayne and gives a planned release date before 2040, with no credible subsequent reports that the queer aspect has been removed.
Mercados abiertos
Box Office / StreamingKALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 50+3.0pt99%
- Above 45-3.0pt96%
- Above 55+4.0pt94%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 314,5 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 33,6 mil €
POLYMARKETWhat will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
- Death of the Pastor's Wife: Season 152%
- Crew Girl: Season 135%
- NFL Melbourne Game: 49ers vs. Rams30%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 586,3 €
KALSHIWild Horse Nine · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+11 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 76,7 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 455,5 €
KALSHIDisney+ App Downloads in September
- Above 11945%
- Above 123+2.0pt37%
- Above 12929%
+6 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 7,1 mil €
- Volumen 24h
POLYMARKETHow many views will the #1 Show on Netflix have this week?
- 8M+95%
- 6M+58%
- 12M+55%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 30,1 €
KALSHIParamount+ App Downloads in September
- Above 7957%
- Above 82-1.0pt51%
- Above 8351%
+6 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 10,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Gay Batman blockbuster by 2040??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 69% a fecha de 10 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Gay Batman blockbuster by 2040??
- Está previsto que Gay Batman blockbuster by 2040? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2039.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Gay Batman blockbuster by 2040??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that, before January 1st 2030, a high‑budget, theatrically released Batman movie explicitly portraying Bruce Wayne/Batman as gay will be released before January 1st 2040 (or has already been released).