[Metaculus] Will the U.S. make an official statement before 2030 threatening nuclear use in the defense of Taiwan?
ChinaOne-Off3aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 89.5%
Pronosticadores
11
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 20 horas
Desactualizado10 jul 24, 22:57 UTC2 ene 30, 12:00 UTC
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Will the U.S. make an official statement before 2030 threatening nuclear use in the defense of Taiwan?
- Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
- (https://www.metaculus.com/questions/question_embed/21869/?theme=dark)Resolution criteria
- This question resolves as Yes if, before January 1, 2030, the U.S. makes an official statement threatening nuclear use in the defense of Taiwan, if Taiwan is attacked by an adversary.
- The question resolves as No otherwise.
- Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de [Metaculus] Will the U.S. make an official statement before 2030 threatening nuclear use in the defense of Taiwan??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 90% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve [Metaculus] Will the U.S. make an official statement before 2030 threatening nuclear use in the defense of Taiwan??
- Está previsto que [Metaculus] Will the U.S. make an official statement before 2030 threatening nuclear use in the defense of Taiwan? se resuelva el 2 de enero de 2030.
- ¿Cómo se liquida [Metaculus] Will the U.S. make an official statement before 2030 threatening nuclear use in the defense of Taiwan??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Will the U.S. make an official statement before 2030 threatening nuclear use in the defense of Taiwan?