Jason Arday leaves Cambridge before 2028
One-OffManifold MarketsCerradoSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado se resolvió: Yes (91.1%)
Resuelto: 5 ago 2026, 19:48
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Pronóstico comunitario actualSí 91.1%
Pronosticadores
8
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 15 días
Desactualizado3 ago 26, 21:585 ago 26, 19:48
Cronología de Probabilidad
Yes91.1%
No8.900000000000006%
91.1%
8.9%
Reglas
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Jason Arday is no longer employed by the University of Cambridge in any academic capacity (including as a professor, lecturer, or researcher) on or before December 31, 2027.
- The market resolves to NO if he remains employed by the University of Cambridge as of December 31, 2027.
- Source of Truth: Employment status will be verified using the official University of Cambridge Faculty of Education staff directory or via official statements from the University of Cambridge and major reputable news outlets (such as The Guardian, The Telegraph, or Times Higher Education).
- Leaves of Absence: If Professor Arday is on a temporary sabbatical, suspension, or medical leave of absence but remains officially on the university payroll, the market resolves to NO.
- Termination/Resignation: If he permanently leaves his role due to resignation, termination, retirement, or transfer to another institution, the market resolves to YES.