Pronóstico comunitario actual
No 94%
Pronosticadores
17
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 horas
Desactualizado18 ago 24, 8:57 UTC2 ene 30, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Reglas
In 2030, a majority of experts will look back and agree that there was not significant justification for believing with greater than 90% confidence that Llama 3.1 405 would not provide the foundation for nefarious actors to produce existentially risky artificially intelligent systems.
- Will resolve to a consensus of experts in 2030.
- If no clear data exists that demonstrates the opinion of experts, a poll will be used for resolution.
