If Democrats win the House in 2026, will Bitcoin be above $150,000 at the end of 2027?
BitcoinYearlyExchangesCoinbasePolítica de EE. UU.1a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 85.5%
Pronosticadores
5
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 19 minutos
7 oct 26, 2:51 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
Reglas
Condition: Democrats win a majority of seats in the U.S. House of Representatives in the November 3, 2026 elections (at least 218 seats won by Democratic Party candidates, counting delegations as certified; independents count for neither party).
- If Republicans or no party win a majority, this market resolves N/A. Resolves YES if Coinbase's BTC-USD price at 00:00 UTC on January 1, 2028 (the daily close for December 31, 2027) is above $150,000.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
- This is one half of a conditional pair; its twin asks the same question if Republicans keep the House.
- Comparing the two shows what the market thinks control of the House changes.
