¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Humanoid robot walking around me within three years??

Manifold Markets cotiza No al 54% a fecha de 19 de agosto de 2026.

¿Cuándo se resuelve Humanoid robot walking around me within three years??

Está previsto que Humanoid robot walking around me within three years? se resuelva el 19 de agosto de 2026.

¿Cómo se liquida Humanoid robot walking around me within three years??

Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Same fine print rules as this market: https://manifold.markets/Bandors/humanoid-robot-walking-around-me-wi

Humanoid robot walking around me within three years?

One-Off

Manifold MarketsCerradoSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptable

Este mercado se resolvió: Yes (45.6%)

Resuelto: 19 ago 2026, 2:28

Resolución verificada por el proveedor

CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.

Pronóstico comunitario actual

No 54.4%

Pronosticadores

Tipo de pregunta

binary

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado ayer

Desactualizado

30 abr 26, 16:0819 ago 26, 2:28

Tendencias

54.4%

Sí

45.6%

Reglas

Same fine print rules as this market: https://manifold.markets/Bandors/humanoid-robot-walking-around-me-wi

I remember on a recent podcast, I heard someone say "everyone will realize they're now living in the future when they start seeing robots walking past them in a few more months"
This market resolves YES if I'm walking around and a humanoid robot casually crosses my path.
Little sweeper robots are not enough, nor are the slightly more human looking ones at sushi restaurants
I will not purposely seek one out, and I will not bet on this market