Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualOver 10 Launches 69.1%Líder entre 7 opciones
Pronosticadores
26
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 horas
Desactualizado10 jun 26, 17:51 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
How many Starship launches will occur in 2028?
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KalshiStortest gap between two SpaceX Starship launches in 2026
Manifold MarketsHow many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?
KalshiReglas
Launch is defined as lifting off from the pad, even slightly, under the thrust of its own engines (the launch does not have to be successful nor does it need to be intended to be fully orbital)
- Must be a full stack launch, but any Starship variant counts
- Answers will resolve as they are fulfilled
- I may resolve answers NO slightly earlier than year end if I'm exceedingly certain they aren't attainable
- UTC is used for determining 2027 start/end
Mercados abiertos
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 8pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 944,1 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 721,8 mil €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+68.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-22.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-8.0pt1%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,442.97 target
- No73%
- Yes27%
- Volumen total
- 620 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 536 mil €
KALSHIGuyana Amazon Warriors vs Antigua And Barbuda Falcons
- Guyana Amazon Warriors+4.0pt66.3%
- Antigua And Barbuda Falcons-3.0pt33.7%
- Volumen total
- 514,9 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 496,9 mil €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+48.0pt99%
- Houston+70.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+17.0pt99%
+19 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+53.0pt95.2%
- 79° or below-3.0pt1%
- 82° to 83°-44.0pt1%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de How many Starship launches will occur in 2027??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Over 10 Launches al 69% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve How many Starship launches will occur in 2027??
- Está previsto que How many Starship launches will occur in 2027? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida How many Starship launches will occur in 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Launch is defined as lifting off from the pad, even slightly, under the thrust of its own engines (the launch does not have to be successful nor does it need to be intended to be fully orbital)