Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 25 oct 2026, 16:20 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actual40.0% or below? 100%Líder entre 12 opciones
Pronosticadores
33
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 14 horas
Desactualizado2 mar 26, 7:48 UTC31 dic 26, 10:59 UTC
Tendencias
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KalshiReglas
Resolves according to vote hub: https://votehub.com/polls/ Average of polls.
- See image below for figure to be used.
- We will use the approve number to resolve this market.
- Just has to show once on the graph, does not have to stay below that number until the end of the year.
- If votehub shuts down I’ll find another reliable source
- Year ends at December 31 11.59pm Eastern Time.
