By the end of 2026, will global crude steelmaking capacity be at least 2,600 million tonnes per year?
CommoditiesOne-OffChina3mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 64.9%
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Actualizado hace 5 horas
Desactualizado26 nov 25, 5:20 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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Use OECD Steel Outlook 2025 and its successors:
- Let CAP_2026 be the OECD estimate of world crude steel capacity for 2026.
- YES if CAP_2026 ≥ 2,600 mmt/y, otherwise NO.
- OECD puts 2023 capacity at ~2,498.6 mmt, with +165 mmt (6.7%) planned additions 2025-27.
- If most projects go ahead and retirements are modest, 2026 lands around 2.6–2.62 Gt; if cancellations/closures bite harder, it could stay in the 2.5x range.
- So 2,600 mmt is basically “do we actually realise most of the pipeline by 2026?”.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de By the end of 2026, will global crude steelmaking capacity be at least 2,600 million tonnes per year??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 65% a fecha de 17 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve By the end of 2026, will global crude steelmaking capacity be at least 2,600 million tonnes per year??
- Está previsto que By the end of 2026, will global crude steelmaking capacity be at least 2,600 million tonnes per year? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida By the end of 2026, will global crude steelmaking capacity be at least 2,600 million tonnes per year??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Use OECD Steel Outlook 2025 and its successors: