By 2028, which country other than USA/China will be most important to AI?

ChinaOne-Off1a

Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibrado

Aviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos

Datos del 20 jul 2026, 14:20 UTC · política pm-quality-2

Pronóstico comunitario actual

UK 33.3%+2.4%

Líder entre 11 opciones

Pronosticadores

192

Tipo de pregunta

multiple choice

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 5 días

Desactualizado

24 nov 23, 14:041 ene 28, 4:59

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero

Resultado elegido

UK33%

Apuesta (USDT)

Reglas

Note that this question DOES NOT include importance via physical chip manufacturing and supply chain, which is why Taiwan and The Netherlands are not listed.

To avoid confusion and get at the question being asked, that is explicitly excluded.
If unclear, will resolve via best available consensus mechanism.
Will pick one winner even if unclear.
Will add additional countries upon reasonable request.
Motivation: Claim in Economist that UAE might be third most important (https://twitter.com/shashj/status/1727991912567583052)

Tendencia de volumen

$486

19 jul2d de datos20 jul

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Valorant: Nova Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Seed Deciders

58,6 mil €

1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5: 63%

POLYMARKET

Wolves Esports vs. FunPlus Phoenix

47,2 mil €

FunPlus Phoenix: 78%

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Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC

38,2 mil €

Chengdu Rongcheng: 47%

POLYMARKET

Wolves Esports vs. FunPlus Phoenix: Map 2

25,1 mil €

Wolves Esports: 27%

KALSHI

Bilibili Gaming vs. Nova Esports

21,5 mil €

Nova Esports: 52%

KALSHI

Activos en estos temas

BitcoinBTC$64,505.23+0.68%

EthereumETH$1,886.97+1.55%

SolanaSOL$75.06+1.53%

XRPXRP$1.10+0.93%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0734+5.64%

BNBBNB$570.76+0.87%

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Reglas

Note that this question DOES NOT include importance via physical chip manufacturing and supply chain, which is why Taiwan and The Netherlands are not listed.

To avoid confusion and get at the question being asked, that is explicitly excluded.
If unclear, will resolve via best available consensus mechanism.
Will pick one winner even if unclear.
Will add additional countries upon reasonable request.
Motivation: Claim in Economist that UAE might be third most important (https://twitter.com/shashj/status/1727991912567583052)

By 2028, which country other than USA/China will be most important to AI?

ChinaOne-Off1a

Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibrado

Aviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos

Datos del 20 jul 2026, 14:20 UTC · política pm-quality-2

Pronóstico comunitario actual

UK 33.3%+2.4%

Líder entre 11 opciones

Pronosticadores

192

Tipo de pregunta

multiple choice

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 5 días

Desactualizado

24 nov 23, 14:041 ene 28, 4:59

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero

Resultado elegido

UK33%

Apuesta (USDT)

Reglas

Note that this question DOES NOT include importance via physical chip manufacturing and supply chain, which is why Taiwan and The Netherlands are not listed.

To avoid confusion and get at the question being asked, that is explicitly excluded.
If unclear, will resolve via best available consensus mechanism.
Will pick one winner even if unclear.
Will add additional countries upon reasonable request.
Motivation: Claim in Economist that UAE might be third most important (https://twitter.com/shashj/status/1727991912567583052)

Tendencia de volumen

$486

19 jul2d de datos20 jul

Mercados Relacionados

Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Seed Deciders

222,7 mil €

Match Winner: 100%

POLYMARKET

Valorant: Nova Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Seed Deciders

58,6 mil €

1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5: 63%

POLYMARKET

Wolves Esports vs. FunPlus Phoenix

47,2 mil €

FunPlus Phoenix: 78%

KALSHI

Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC

38,2 mil €

Chengdu Rongcheng: 47%

POLYMARKET

Wolves Esports vs. FunPlus Phoenix: Map 2

25,1 mil €

Wolves Esports: 27%

KALSHI

Bilibili Gaming vs. Nova Esports

21,5 mil €

Nova Esports: 52%

KALSHI

Activos en estos temas

BitcoinBTC$64,505.23+0.68%

EthereumETH$1,886.97+1.55%

SolanaSOL$75.06+1.53%

XRPXRP$1.10+0.93%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0734+5.64%

BNBBNB$570.76+0.87%

Noticias Relacionadas

China completes first digital yuan payment to SingaporeCrypto News

Trump’s CLARITY push is now about beating ChinaCrypto News

Polymarket prices China–Japan clash at 7.5% after ICC dispute spotlights TokyoBlockchain.News

Polymarket Taiwan 2026 invasion Yes odds drop to 3.75% on $38.6M volumeBlockchain.News

DeepSeek plots $71B IPO to challenge OpenAI in global AI raceCrypto News

Chinese Prosecutors Float Treating Crypto Mixer, Privacy Coin Use as Sign of Money LaunderingDecrypt

Reglas

Note that this question DOES NOT include importance via physical chip manufacturing and supply chain, which is why Taiwan and The Netherlands are not listed.

To avoid confusion and get at the question being asked, that is explicitly excluded.
If unclear, will resolve via best available consensus mechanism.
Will pick one winner even if unclear.
Will add additional countries upon reasonable request.
Motivation: Claim in Economist that UAE might be third most important (https://twitter.com/shashj/status/1727991912567583052)