By 2026, will crude steel production outside China be at least 8% higher than in 2024?
Materias primasOne-OffChina9m
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualNo 90.6%
Pronosticadores
19
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 47 minutos
Retrasado26 nov 25, 5:17 UTC11 ago 27, 22:59 UTC
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Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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PolymarketReglas
From worldsteel country breakdowns:
- Let WORLD_2024, CHINA_2024, WORLD_2026, CHINA_2026 be crude steel totals in 2024 and 2026.
- Define EXCHINA_2024 = WORLD_2024 − CHINA_2024; EXCHINA_2026 = WORLD_2026 − CHINA_2026.
- YES if EXCHINA_2026 / EXCHINA_2024 ≥ 1.08, otherwise NO.
- I'll search for current information about global crude steel production to provide context for this market.#### Resolution criteria
- Total world crude steel production was 1,882.6 Mt in 2024.
