Probabilidad implícita actual
↑ $770 86.4%Líder entre 14 opciones
Calidad del mercado
23 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
50,1 €
Liquidez
—
Liquidez desconocidaDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 minuto
5 sept 26, 9:16 UTC11 sept 26, 20:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Reglas
↑ $795 · ↓ $765 · ↓ $745 · ↑ $780 · ↓ $740 · ↑ $790 · ↓ $735 · ↓ $750 · ↑ $785 · ↑ $775 · ↑ $800 · ↓ $760.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during the week of September 7 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered.
- Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits.
- Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
- Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
2 plataformas cotizan actualmente este mercado. La probabilidad de referencia ponderada por liquidez de CoinRithm para ↑ $770 es del 86%. Las cotizaciones difieren en unos 4 puntos porcentuales entre las plataformas más alejadas.
Referencia CoinRithm ↑ $770 86% · 2 plataformas · 4 pt de dispersion entre venues
