KalshiCerradoComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaEste mercado se resolvió: Outright Winner (98%)
Resuelto: 19 jul 2026, 22:15
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Resultado Ganador
Outright Winner
A 7 días
—
A 24 horas
59%
Aviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 19 jul 2026, 22:00 UTC · política pm-quality-2
Procedencia de la liquidación
- Resultado vigente
- Outright Winner
- Registrado
- 19 jul 2026, 22:32
- Observaciones
- 1
- Revisiones
- 0
- Método
- resolution_watch
Probabilidad implícita actualOutright Winner 93.3%+40.0ptLíder entre 7 opciones
Calidad del mercado
49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
254,4 mil €
Liquidez
520,6 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
97.0% / 99.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 días
Desactualizado8 may 26, 2:0027 jul 26, 2:00
Cronología de Probabilidad
Runner-Up2%
Outright Winner98%
Round of 321%
93.3%
1.9%
0.9%
0.9%
0.9%
0.9%
Este mercado ha cerrado. El trading simulado solo está disponible en mercados abiertos.
Comparar plataformas· Outright Winner
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiEsta páginaMejor en general | Baja | 98% | — | 254,4 mil € | 520,6 mil € | hace 8 días | |
 Polymarket88% de coincidencia · verificado | Baja | 100% | — | 49,1 mil € | 0 € | hace 7 días | Abrir → |
También disponible en Polymarket
World Cup: Spain Stage of Elimination
40.5 ptsCerrados
Resuelto
Champion (100%)
+40.5pt100%
0%
-0.1pt0%
+5 resultados más
49 • Baja calidadSpread estrechoBaja liquidez
Volumen total1,8 M €
Volumen 24h49,1 mil €
POLYMARKETReglas
If Spain is eliminated in the Group Stage in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For the purposes of this Contract, if a team withdraws, forfeits or is disqualified at any point during the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, their stage of elimination will be determined by the farthest stage they reached prior to withdrawal, forfeit or disqualification.
- For example, if a team withdraws after winning their Round of 32 match, the market titled "Round of 16" will resolve to Yes since that would be the next stage where they would have been eliminated had they continued competing.
- Note: If a team loses in the Semifinals, the market titled "Semifinals" will resolve to Yes, regardless of whether they win the third-place match.
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by FIFA.
- Any references to "FIFA", the "FIFA World Cup," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FIFA and Kalshi.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Operaciones grandes
$3.1k98.0%KALSHIOutright Winner — Yeshace 8 d
KALSHIOutright Winner — Yeshace 8 d$1.6k86.0%KALSHIOutright Winner — Yeshace 8 d
KALSHIOutright Winner — Yeshace 8 d$2.9k58.0%KALSHIOutright Winner — Yeshace 12 d
KALSHIOutright Winner — Yeshace 12 d$2.7k27.0%KALSHIQuarterfinals — Yeshace 17 d
KALSHIQuarterfinals — Yeshace 17 d$2.0k20.8%POLYMARKETWill Spain be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup? — Yestkenmnhace 19 d
POLYMARKETWill Spain be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup? — Yestkenmnhace 19 dTendencia de volumen
$289.5k2 jul18d de datos19 jul
Mercados Relacionados
Lincoln Red Imps vs Mjallby
95,3 mil €Lincoln Red Imps advances: 5%KALSHI
KALSHI
2030 FIFA World Cup Champion
31,3 mil €Qatar: 1%KALSHI
KALSHIHeart of Midlothian vs Sturm Graz
18,5 mil €Heart of Midlothian advances: 7%KALSHI
KALSHI
Which team will win the 2030 FIFA World Cup?
16,5 mil €Spain: 20.6%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Lewandowski play in the 2030 FIFA World Cup?
659,1 €Sí: 9.4%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhich country outside Europe and South America will be the first to win the men’s FIFA World Cup?
439,4 €USA: 10.6%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActivos en estos temas
Noticias Relacionadas
NFL urges CFTC to strengthen rules on sports prediction markets: reportThe Block
KuCoin Marks Major Sponsorship Milestone as Ambassador Pogačar Wins Record Fifth Tour de FranceBlockchain Reporter
Polymarket odds: Kane jumps to 41% in 2026 Ballon d'Or marketBlockchain.News
Worldcoin’s WLD Jumps 8% on Grayscale ETF FilingDecrypt
Polymarket prices Golden Ball at 50% despite Spain reaching World Cup finalBlockchain.News
Prediction markets just crushed traditional sportsbooks in a massive $50 billion World Cup breakoutCoindeskReglas
If Spain is eliminated in the Group Stage in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For the purposes of this Contract, if a team withdraws, forfeits or is disqualified at any point during the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, their stage of elimination will be determined by the farthest stage they reached prior to withdrawal, forfeit or disqualification.
- For example, if a team withdraws after winning their Round of 32 match, the market titled "Round of 16" will resolve to Yes since that would be the next stage where they would have been eliminated had they continued competing.
- Note: If a team loses in the Semifinals, the market titled "Semifinals" will resolve to Yes, regardless of whether they win the third-place match.
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by FIFA.
- Any references to "FIFA", the "FIFA World Cup," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FIFA and Kalshi.