KalshiCerradoComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaEste mercado se resolvió: Runner-Up (98%)
Resuelto: 19 jul 2026, 22:15
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Resultado Ganador
Runner-Up
A 7 días
—
A 24 horas
58%
Aviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 19 jul 2026, 22:00 UTC · política pm-quality-2
Procedencia de la liquidación
- Resultado vigente
- Runner-Up
- Registrado
- 19 jul 2026, 22:32
- Observaciones
- 1
- Revisiones
- 0
- Método
- resolution_watch
Probabilidad implícita actualRunner-Up 94.2%+40.0ptLíder entre 7 opciones
Calidad del mercado
49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
491,3 mil €
Liquidez
814,1 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
1.0% / 4.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 días
Desactualizado8 may 26, 0:0027 jul 26, 2:00
Cronología de Probabilidad
Runner-Up98%
Outright Winner1%
1%
1%
94.2%
1%
1%
1%
Este mercado ha cerrado. El trading simulado solo está disponible en mercados abiertos.
Comparar plataformas· Runner-Up
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiEsta páginaMejor en general | Baja | 98% | — | 491,3 mil € | 814,1 mil € | hace 9 días | |
 Polymarket88% de coincidencia · verificado | Baja | 100% | — | 45,3 mil € | 0 € | hace 8 días | Abrir → |
También disponible en Polymarket
World Cup: Argentina Stage of Elimination
40.8 ptsCerrados
Resuelto
Final (100%)
+40.5pt100%
0%
-0.3pt0%
+5 resultados más
30 • Baja calidadSpread desconocidoBaja liquidez
Volumen total522,6 mil €
Volumen 24h45,3 mil €
POLYMARKETReglas
If Argentina is eliminated in the Group Stage in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For the purposes of this Contract, if a team withdraws, forfeits or is disqualified at any point during the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, their stage of elimination will be determined by the farthest stage they reached prior to withdrawal, forfeit or disqualification.
- For example, if a team withdraws after winning their Round of 32 match, the market titled "Round of 16" will resolve to Yes since that would be the next stage where they would have been eliminated had they continued competing.
- Note: If a team loses in the Semifinals, the market titled "Semifinals" will resolve to Yes, regardless of whether they win the third-place match.
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by FIFA.
- Any references to "FIFA", the "FIFA World Cup," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FIFA and Kalshi.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Operaciones grandes
$4.2k44.0%KALSHIOutright Winner — Yeshace 10 d
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KALSHIOutright Winner — Yeshace 11 d$1.2k41.1%POLYMARKETWill Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup? — Nogeorgecalinescu8635hace 11 d
POLYMARKETWill Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup? — Nogeorgecalinescu8635hace 11 d$2.6k75.0%KALSHIQuarterfinals — Nohace 21 d
KALSHIQuarterfinals — Nohace 21 dTendencia de volumen
$559.6k2 jul18d de datos19 jul
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If Argentina is eliminated in the Group Stage in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For the purposes of this Contract, if a team withdraws, forfeits or is disqualified at any point during the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, their stage of elimination will be determined by the farthest stage they reached prior to withdrawal, forfeit or disqualification.
- For example, if a team withdraws after winning their Round of 32 match, the market titled "Round of 16" will resolve to Yes since that would be the next stage where they would have been eliminated had they continued competing.
- Note: If a team loses in the Semifinals, the market titled "Semifinals" will resolve to Yes, regardless of whether they win the third-place match.
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by FIFA.
- Any references to "FIFA", the "FIFA World Cup," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FIFA and Kalshi.