KalshiCerradoComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaEste mercado se resolvió: Rodri (2%)
Resuelto: 19 jul 2026, 22:41
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Resultado Ganador
Rodri
A 7 días
—
A 24 horas
6%
SorpresaAviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 19 jul 2026, 22:20 UTC · política pm-quality-2
Procedencia de la liquidación
- Resultado vigente
- Rodri
- Registrado
- 19 jul 2026, 22:49
- Observaciones
- 1
- Revisiones
- 0
- Método
- resolution_watch
Probabilidad implícita actualLionel Messi 93%+1.0ptLíder entre 67 opciones
Calidad del mercado
49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
3,5 M €
Liquidez
5,8 M €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
6.0% / 8.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 días
Desactualizado12 may 26, 22:0031 jul 26, 14:00
Cronología de Probabilidad
Harry Kane6%
Michael Olise4%
Kylian Mbappe8%
Lionel Messi93%
Lamine Yamal1%
Erling Haaland14%
Jude Bellingham30%
Mikel Oyarzabal3%
Tie/Co-Winners1%
Rodri1%
8%
93%
2%
1%
1%
1%
Este mercado ha cerrado. El trading simulado solo está disponible en mercados abiertos.
Comparar plataformas· Lionel Messi
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiEsta páginaMejor en general | Baja | 93% | — | 3,5 M € | 5,8 M € | hace 7 días | |
 Polymarket93% de coincidencia · verificado | Baja | 0% | — | 1,3 M € | 0 € | hace 6 días | Abrir → |
 Limitless92% de coincidencia · verificado | Baja | 1% | — | 17,8 € | 0 € | hace 7 días | Abrir → |
 Manifold Markets93% de coincidencia · vinculado | — | 0% | — | — | — | hace 7 días | Abrir → |
También disponible en Manifold Markets
2026 FIFA World Cup ⚽ Golden Ball (MVP)
Cerrados
Resuelto
Rodri (99.2%)
+91.0pt99.2%
-2.9pt0.2%
-0.6pt0.1%
+7 resultados más
Pronóstico comunitario44 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSTambién disponible en Polymarket
World Cup: Golden Ball Winner
90.5 ptsCerrados
Resuelto
Rodri (100%)
+94.6pt100%
-2.2pt0%
-1.9pt0%
+38 resultados más
35 • Baja calidadSpread desconocidoBaja liquidez
Volumen total15,1 M €
Volumen 24h1,3 M €
POLYMARKETTambién disponible en Limitless
World Cup: Golden Ball Winner
Cerrados
50.4%
50%
50%
+7 resultados más
7 • Baja calidadSpread desconocidoBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo
Volumen total1,5 mil €
Volumen 24h17,8 €
LIMITLESSReglas
If Harry Kane wins the Golden Ball in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Golden Ball is awarded to the player recognized by FIFA as the best overall player of the tournament.
- If multiple participants are announced as co-winners, then Tie/Co-Winners resolves to Yes and all other markets resolve to No.
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by FIFA.
- Any references to "FIFA", the "FIFA World Cup," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FIFA and Kalshi.
- If Lamine Yamal wins the Golden Ball in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Operaciones grandes
$1.5k99.9%POLYMARKETWill Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? — Yesubergoyhace 8 d
POLYMARKETWill Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? — Yesubergoyhace 8 d$4.2k99.9%POLYMARKETWill Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? — YesGTG791hace 8 d
POLYMARKETWill Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? — YesGTG791hace 8 d$3.2k28.0%POLYMARKETWill Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? — YesBenymokambohace 8 d
POLYMARKETWill Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? — YesBenymokambohace 8 d$1.4k40.0%POLYMARKETWill Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? — YesYawning-Chickenhace 8 d
POLYMARKETWill Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? — YesYawning-Chickenhace 8 d$1.5k99.0%KALSHIRodri — Nohace 8 d
KALSHIRodri — Nohace 8 d$3.5k96.0%KALSHILionel Messi — Yeshace 8 d
KALSHILionel Messi — Yeshace 8 d$5.3k96.6%POLYMARKETWill Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? — YesBLAHBLAHBLAH-298hace 8 d
POLYMARKETWill Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? — YesBLAHBLAHBLAH-298hace 8 d$2.8k98.0%KALSHIRodri — Nohace 8 d
KALSHIRodri — Nohace 8 dTendencia de volumen
$4.0M2 jul18d de datos19 jul
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If Harry Kane wins the Golden Ball in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Golden Ball is awarded to the player recognized by FIFA as the best overall player of the tournament.
- If multiple participants are announced as co-winners, then Tie/Co-Winners resolves to Yes and all other markets resolve to No.
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by FIFA.
- Any references to "FIFA", the "FIFA World Cup," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FIFA and Kalshi.
- If Lamine Yamal wins the Golden Ball in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.