KalshiCerradoComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado se resolvió: Trump (3+ times) (99%)
Evidencia de resolución limitada
CoinRithm puede mostrar el resultado registrado, pero no todos los campos de liquidación están verificados por el proveedor.
Probabilidad implícita actual
Trump (3+ times) 99%Líder entre 28 opciones
Calidad del mercado
42 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
206 mil €
Liquidez
159,7 mil €
Alta liquidezDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 horas
Desactualizado2 sept 26, 23:303 sept 26, 19:01
Cronología de Probabilidad
Radical Left15%
America First1%
Iran (5+ times)81%
American Dream1%
Trump (3+ times)79%
Israel / Israeli1%
2028 / Campaign42%
Working Class / Middle Class24%
Election68%
Manufacturing43%
Fraud78%
Made in America / American Made9%
Tariff67%
Ceasefire39%
Terrorist / Terrorism74%
Afford / Affordable / Affordability55%
Healthcare50%
AI / Artificial Intelligence27%
Illegal Alien61%
Oil / Gas / Gasoline92%
Biden78%
Event does not qualify1%
Inflation67%
Economy / Economic94%
Ballroom22%
China / Chinese69%
Save America Act1%
Democrat92%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
1%
1%
Reglas
If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSAxiosCNNReutersThe New York TimesThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPolitico
- How this is resolved Video of the press conference originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream.
- If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the press conference originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 will be used.
- Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
- Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
- JD Vance speaking in an official capacity.