KalshiCerradoComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado se resolvió: Above -1.5% (96%)
Resuelto: 21 ago 2026, 12:47
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Aviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 21 ago 2026, 5:50 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidad implícita actual
Above -1.5% 96%Líder entre 8 opciones
Calidad del mercado
19 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
532 €
Liquidez
1,8 mil €
Baja liquidezDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 14 horas
Desactualizado24 jul 26, 20:4521 ago 26, 5:59
Cronología de Probabilidad
Above 1.5%15%
Above 1.0%18%
Above -1.0%86%
Above 0.5%30%
Above 0.0%41%
96%
82%
41%
30%
18%
15%
7%
0%
Reglas
If the United Kingdom retail sales MoM for July 2026 is above -1.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Trading Economics
- If the United Kingdom retail sales MoM for July 2026 is above -1.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the United Kingdom retail sales MoM for July 2026 is above 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the United Kingdom retail sales MoM for July 2026 is above 0.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abiertos
Macro & EconomyKALSHIWill GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- No90%
- Yes+1.0pt10%
- Volumen total
- 2,5 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 18,6 mil €
POLYMARKETBank of Korea decision in August?
- 25 bps hike-6.0pt70.3%
- No Change+7.5pt29.7%
- 50+ bps cut-0.5pt0%
+2 resultados más
KALSHIFear & Greed Index on Aug 21, 2026?
- Neutral+48.0pt95.2%
- Greed-13.0pt1.9%
- Extreme Greed-1.0pt1%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 25,3 mil €
KALSHIHow high will US gas prices get in 2026?
- Above $4.60-1.0pt49%
- Above $4.80+16.0pt49%
- Above $5.00-1.0pt29%
+10 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIHow high will the S&P get this year?
- 7,800 or above99%
- 8,000 or above+5.6pt65%
- 8,200 or above+2.8pt37%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 917,5 mil €
KALSHIWhich companies will conduct layoffs this year?
- Oracle+8.0pt99%
- TikTok98%
- Amazon-6.0pt92%
+6 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 43,7 mil €
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his Jackson Hole remarks?
- TSA avg check-ins from Aug 17 to 23, 2026?
- ISM Services PMI - August 2026
- University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - August 2026
- What will the median home value in the Austin Metro area be on September 30?
- Will the S&P finish positive this year?
- What will the median home value in New York City be on September 30?
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
- Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de UK retail sales in July?
- Kalshi cotiza Above -1.5% al 96% a fecha de 21 de agosto de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve UK retail sales in July?
- Está previsto que UK retail sales in July se resuelva el 21 de agosto de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida UK retail sales in July?
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the United Kingdom retail sales MoM for July 2026 is above -1.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.