KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoAviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 10 nov 2026, 18:02 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Punto medio del libro seleccionado
Democrat · —
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
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Precio guardado
Democrat 82%Líder entre 15 opciones
Democrat 82%Calidad del mercado
48 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
4,9 mil €
Interés abierto
5,3 mil US$
Interés abierto medioCompra / Venta
— / —
DemocratSpread
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Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado10 nov 26, 16:00 UTC24 nov 26, 15:00 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Kalshi
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Cierre anticipado:
- Sí
- Plazo de liquidación:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidad de mercado · Democrat
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
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Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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Manifold MarketsWill John Thune run for reelection?
KalshiWill John Thune stop being Senate Republican Leader before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill John Thune stop being Senate Republican Leader before the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsReglas
If John Thune says Democrat as part of Fox News: Special Report with Bret Baier originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSThe Washington PostAxiosCNNReutersThe New York Timesthe Associated PressPolitico
- How this is resolved Video of the Fox News: Special Report with Bret Baier originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Fox News: Special Report with Bret Baier originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). John Thune speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.
Reglas de cada resultado
- Democrat
- If John Thune says Democrat as part of Fox News: Special Report with Bret Baier originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Midterm
- If John Thune says Midterm as part of Fox News: Special Report with Bret Baier originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Impeach / Impeachment
- If John Thune says Impeach / Impeachment as part of Fox News: Special Report with Bret Baier originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Oil / Gas / Gasoline
- If John Thune says Oil / Gas / Gasoline as part of Fox News: Special Report with Bret Baier originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Hegseth
- If John Thune says Hegseth as part of Fox News: Special Report with Bret Baier originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Schumer
- If John Thune says Schumer as part of Fox News: Special Report with Bret Baier originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Iran / Iranian
- If John Thune says Iran / Iranian as part of Fox News: Special Report with Bret Baier originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Tax
- If John Thune says Tax as part of Fox News: Special Report with Bret Baier originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Inflation
- If John Thune says Inflation as part of Fox News: Special Report with Bret Baier originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Affordable / Affordability
- If John Thune says Affordable / Affordability as part of Fox News: Special Report with Bret Baier originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Trump (3+ times)
- If John Thune says Trump (3+ times) as part of Fox News: Special Report with Bret Baier originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Filibuster
- If John Thune says Filibuster as part of Fox News: Special Report with Bret Baier originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Biden
- If John Thune says Biden as part of Fox News: Special Report with Bret Baier originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- American Dream
- If John Thune says American Dream as part of Fox News: Special Report with Bret Baier originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Event does not qualify
- If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.