KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradadosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 7 nov 2026, 17:11 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Punto medio del libro seleccionado
Between 49 and 55 million · —
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
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Precio guardado
Between 49 and 55 million 81.5%Líder entre 6 opciones
Between 49 and 55 million 81.5%Calidad del mercado
34 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
3,6 mil €
Interés abierto
6,9 mil US$
Interés abierto medioCompra / Venta
— / —
Between 49 and 55 millionSpread
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Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado1 sept 26, 18:00 UTC4 dic 26, 15:00 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Kalshi
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Cierre anticipado:
- Sí
- Plazo de liquidación:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidad de mercado · Between 49 and 55 million
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
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KalshiReglas
If the preseason total run forecast issued by ADF&G for Bristol Bay sockeye salmon for the 2027 season is above 55 million fish, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Alaska Department of Fish and Game
- The relevant figure is the Bristol Bay-wide aggregate point estimate shown in the “Forecast” column on the row labeled “Total run.” The separate “Inshore Run” figure will not be used. The market also will not use the forecast range or prediction interval, escapement, harvestable-surplus figures, individual river or district forecasts, or the actual observed 2027 run. Only ADF&G’s initial non-preliminary preseason forecast will be used. In-season estimates, postseason run reconstructions, and revisions made after expiration will not affect resolution. If ADF&G provides only a forecast range without a point estimate, the midpoint of that range will be used. If ADF&G does not use the label “Total run,” the functionally equivalent Bristol Bay-wide figure, "projected total catch plus projected total escapement", will be used.
Reglas de cada resultado
- Between 49 and 55 million
- If the preseason total run forecast issued by ADF&G for Bristol Bay sockeye salmon for the 2027 season is between 49 million and 55 million fish, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 55 million
- If the preseason total run forecast issued by ADF&G for Bristol Bay sockeye salmon for the 2027 season is above 55 million fish, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Between 43 and 48.99 million
- If the preseason total run forecast issued by ADF&G for Bristol Bay sockeye salmon for the 2027 season is between 43 million and 48.99 million fish, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Below 29 million
- If the preseason total run forecast issued by ADF&G for Bristol Bay sockeye salmon for the 2027 season is below 29 million fish, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Between 37 and 42.99 million
- If the preseason total run forecast issued by ADF&G for Bristol Bay sockeye salmon for the 2027 season is between 37 million and 42.99 million fish, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Between 29 and 36.99 million
- If the preseason total run forecast issued by ADF&G for Bristol Bay sockeye salmon for the 2027 season is between 29 million and 36.99 million fish, then the market resolves to Yes.