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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. Política
  3. Who will win the 2026 Seoul mayoral election?
Who will win the 2026 Seoul mayoral election?

Who will win the 2026 Seoul mayoral election?

91.3% (24h)One-OffPolíticaElección
KalshiKalshiCerradoComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisión

Este mercado se resolvió: Oh Se-hoon (100%)

Resuelto: 4 jun 2026, 18:20

Resultado Ganador

Oh Se-hoon

A 7 días

—

A 24 horas

10%

Sorpresa
Probabilidad implícita actual
Oh Se-hoon
Oh Se-hoon 100%+91.3%
Líder entre 6 opciones
Calidad del mercado

63 / 100

Calidad media
Volumen 24h

1,4 mil €

Liquidez

1,1 mil €

Baja liquidez
Compra / Venta

99.3% / 99.9%

Spread

0.6%

Spread estrecho
Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 8 días

Desactualizado
16 dic 25, 15:003 jun 27, 14:00

Cronología de Probabilidad

Chong Won-o1%
Oh Se-hoon3%
Park Ju-min1%
0%25%50%75%100%2 jun3 jun4 jun
Resultado24hProbabilidad
Chong Won-o
Chong Won-o
-93.4%
1%
Park Ju-min
Park Ju-min
-2.4%
1%
Oh Se-hoon
Oh Se-hoon
+91.3%
100%
Na Kyung-won
Na Kyung-won
0%
Seo Young-kyo
Seo Young-kyo
0%
Kim Min-seok
Kim Min-seok
0%

Este mercado ha cerrado. El trading simulado solo está disponible en mercados abiertos.

Reglas

If Oh Se-hoon wins the 2026 Seoul mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.
  • The market resolves based on the official certification or declaration by the relevant electoral authority.
  • Contested results are resolved based on the final certified outcome by the appropriate electoral authority or highest court with jurisdiction.
  • In cases of competing claims (two presidents, disputed succession), the individual recognized by the hierarchical majority of Source Agencies prevails.
  • The market remains open until the rescheduled election or two years from the original date, whichever comes first.

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Reglas

If Oh Se-hoon wins the 2026 Seoul mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.
  • The market resolves based on the official certification or declaration by the relevant electoral authority.
  • Contested results are resolved based on the final certified outcome by the appropriate electoral authority or highest court with jurisdiction.
  • In cases of competing claims (two presidents, disputed succession), the individual recognized by the hierarchical majority of Source Agencies prevails.
  • The market remains open until the rescheduled election or two years from the original date, whichever comes first.