South Dakota Republican Governor runoff margin of victory?

14.0 pts (24h)PolíticaOne-OffUS Politics Elección12m

KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximada

Probabilidad implícita actual

Larry Rhoden, ≥12% 86.1%+14.0pt

Líder entre 10 opciones

Calidad del mercado

67 / 100

Calidad media

Volumen 24h

7,7 mil €

Liquidez

13,1 mil €

Liquidez media

Compra / Venta

99.0% / 100.0%

Spread

1.0 pt

Spread estrecho

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 28 minutos

4 jun 26, 19:3028 jul 27, 14:00

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero

Resultado elegido

Larry Rhoden, ≥12%99%

Apuesta (USDT)

Reglas

If the margin of victory for Toby Doeden in the 2026 South Dakota Republican gubernatorial runoff falls within 12% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

The margin of victory is the vote share received by Toby Doeden minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Toby Doeden if Toby Doeden wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Toby Doeden loses.
If Toby Doeden wins, the margin will be positive; if Toby Doeden loses, the margin will be negative; if Toby Doeden ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.
Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied.
For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
If Toby Doeden runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.

Tendencia de volumen

$8.8k

2 jul28d de datos29 jul

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Reglas

The margin of victory is the vote share received by Toby Doeden minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Toby Doeden if Toby Doeden wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Toby Doeden loses.
If Toby Doeden wins, the margin will be positive; if Toby Doeden loses, the margin will be negative; if Toby Doeden ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.
Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied.
For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
If Toby Doeden runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.