South Carolina Republican Governor primary runoff margin of victory?
PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElección
KalshiCerradoComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónEste mercado se resolvió: Alan Wilson, ≥20% (99%)
Resuelto: 29 jun 2026, 20:56
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Resultado Ganador
Alan Wilson, ≥20%
A 7 días
—
A 24 horas
99%
ConsensoProbabilidad implícita actualAlan Wilson, ≥20% 99%Líder entre 12 opciones
Calidad del mercado
49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
188 €
Liquidez
774,9 €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
99.0% / 100.0%
Spread
1.0%
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 días
Desactualizado16 jun 26, 17:1423 jun 27, 14:00
Cronología de Probabilidad
Alan Wilson, 4-8%1%
Alan Wilson, 8-12%1%
Alan Wilson, 16-20%1%
Pamela Evette, 0-4%1%
Alan Wilson, 12-16%1%
Alan Wilson, 0-4%1%
99%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
Este mercado ha cerrado. El trading simulado solo está disponible en mercados abiertos.
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If the margin of victory for Alan Wilson in the 2026 South Carolina Republican gubernatorial primary runoff falls within 0% to 4%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Alan Wilson minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Alan Wilson if Alan Wilson wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Alan Wilson loses.
- For raw votes: the total votes received by Alan Wilson minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Alan Wilson if Alan Wilson wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Alan Wilson loses.
- For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Alan Wilson minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Alan Wilson wins, or the electoral votes received by Alan Wilson minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Alan Wilson does not.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.