Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary margin of victory?
21.0% (24h)PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElección1a
KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaProbabilidad implícita actualFrancesca Hong, ≥15% 49%+21.0%Líder entre 12 opciones
Calidad del mercado
52 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
1,2 mil €
Liquidez
13,2 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
36.0% / 42.0%
Spread
16.7%
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 23 minutos
20 jul 26, 15:4211 ago 27, 14:00
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Francesca Hong, ≥15%49%
Operaciones grandes
$1.4k95.0%KALSHIDavid Crowley, 3-6% — Nohace 4 d
KALSHIDavid Crowley, 3-6% — Nohace 4 dTendencia de volumen
$1.3k20 jul7d de datos26 jul
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If the margin of victory for Francesca Hong in the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory is the vote share received by Francesca Hong minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Francesca Hong if Francesca Hong wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Francesca Hong loses.
- If Francesca Hong wins, the margin will be positive; if Francesca Hong loses, the margin will be negative; if Francesca Hong ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
- If Francesca Hong runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.