Probabilidad implícita actual
Before Jul 1, 2026 20%
Calidad del mercado
44 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
1,1 €
Liquidez
98,4 €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
20.0% / 21.0%
Spread
5.0%
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 minutos
6 jun 26, 2:002 jul 26, 3:59
Tendencias
Resultado elegido
Before Jul 1, 202620%
También disponible en Polymarket
Will Spencer Pratt concede by…?
43.1%13d
-28.5%26%
-43.1%0%
-0.5%0%
61 • Calidad mediaSpread amplioLiquidez mediaAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total36,9 mil €
Volumen 24h17,9 mil €
POLYMARKETReglas
If Spencer Pratt has made a statement conceding defeat in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary before Jun 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- A concession requires the candidate to explicitly acknowledge defeat, loss, or that their opponent has won the race.
- Qualifying statements include "concede," "congratulate [opponent] on their victory," "accept the results," "will not be [office holder]," or other unambiguous acknowledgments of defeat.
- Suspending or ending a campaign without acknowledging defeat, conditional statements, or conceding only partial results do not qualify.
- If a candidate makes a concession statement and then retracts it before the deadline, the market still resolves to Yes.
- Death or incapacitation resolves the market to the last fair traded price.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
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If Spencer Pratt has made a statement conceding defeat in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary before Jun 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- A concession requires the candidate to explicitly acknowledge defeat, loss, or that their opponent has won the race.
- Qualifying statements include "concede," "congratulate [opponent] on their victory," "accept the results," "will not be [office holder]," or other unambiguous acknowledgments of defeat.
- Suspending or ending a campaign without acknowledging defeat, conditional statements, or conceding only partial results do not qualify.
- If a candidate makes a concession statement and then retracts it before the deadline, the market still resolves to Yes.
- Death or incapacitation resolves the market to the last fair traded price.