KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Z.ai 72.7%Líder entre 20 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
62 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
34,8 mil €
Liquidez
33,6 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
5.0 pt
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 14 minutos
21 ago 26, 17:001 oct 26, 3:59
Tendencias
Reglas
If Z.ai is confirmed as the developer of the Ox Alpha stealth AI model after Issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBCBBCThe GuardianABC News AustraliaSouth China Morning PostCBCThe Verge
- Confirmation requires that the named company has itself publicly stated, or its official channels have confirmed, that it built or operates the model listed on OpenRouter as Ox Alpha.
- Relaunching or renaming the same model under the company's own brand counts.
- A company is identified by its corporate identity, not its product brand.
- Independent technical analysis, including tokenizer, benchmark or encoder fingerprinting, does not count however confident, unless the named company itself confirms.
- the named outcome is the outcome if no company is confirmed as described above, or the company so confirmed is not among those named in this event.
Mercados abiertos
ExchangeKALSHIBTC price on Aug 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,500 or above+96.0pt99%
- $74,500 or above+82.0pt99%
- $76,000 or above+93.0pt99%
+97 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 7,1 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 4,8 M €
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on August 22?
- 52,000+0.2pt100%
- 54,000+0.1pt100%
- 56,000+0.1pt100%
+8 resultados más
KALSHIETH price on Aug 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $2,290 or above+33.0pt99%
- $2,250 or above+18.0pt99%
- $2,330 or above+53.0pt99%
+47 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIBitcoin price at the end of 2026
- 75,000 to 79,999.99+0.8pt12.1%
- 80,000 to 84,999.99+3.7pt11.1%
- 70,000 to 74,999.99-1.1pt11.1%
+25 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIHow high will ETH get in August?
- Above $2,000.0099%
- Above $2,250.0097%
- Above $2,500.00+36.0pt78%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 386,2 mil €
KALSHIXRP price at Aug 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $1.33991 or above+85.0pt99%
- $1.29991 or above+77.0pt99%
- $1.03991 or above+5.0pt99%
+47 resultados más
- Volumen total
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Bitcoin above ___ on August 23?
- Anthropic IPO by __?
- How low will BTC get in August?
- Bitcoin Up or Down on August 22?
- BTC price range on Aug 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- ETH price range on Aug 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Bitcoin above ___ on August 27?
- Ethereum above ___ on August 22?
- Bitcoin above ___ on August 24?
- SOL price on Aug 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Which company is behind Ox Alpha??
- Kalshi cotiza Z.ai al 73% a fecha de 21 de agosto de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Which company is behind Ox Alpha??
- Está previsto que Which company is behind Ox Alpha? se resuelva el 1 de octubre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Which company is behind Ox Alpha??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If Z.ai is confirmed as the developer of the Ox Alpha stealth AI model after Issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.