KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaProbabilidad implícita actualKeith Sonderling 79%Líder entre 16 opciones
Calidad del mercado
46 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
9,1 €
Liquidez
26,1 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
2.0% / 7.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 18 minutos
9 jun 26, 16:4520 ene 29, 15:00
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Riley Moore2%
Comparar plataformas· Keith Sonderling
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 GeminiMejor en general96% de coincidencia · auto | Baja | 94% | 0pt | 0 € | 0 € | hace 18 minutos | Abrir → |
| KalshiEsta página | Baja | 94% | 0pt | 9,1 € | 26,1 mil € | hace 18 minutos | |
 PolymarketMás activa61% de coincidencia · verificado | Baja | 100% | +6pt | 71 mil € | 0 € | hace 26 días | Abrir → |
También disponible en Gemini
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Labor?
2a
83.5%
5.8%
1.3%
+7 resultados más
47 • Baja calidadSpread estrechoBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo
Volumen total23,6 mil €
Volumen 24h0 €
GEMINITambién disponible en Polymarket
Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?
15.6 ptsCerrados
Resuelto
Keith Sonderling (100%)
+49.5pt100%
-1.4pt0%
-8.2pt0%
+32 resultados más
30 • Baja calidadSpread desconocidoBaja liquidez
Volumen total111,7 mil €
Volumen 24h71 mil €
POLYMARKETReglas
If the first new person to be Secretary of Labor is Keith Sonderling before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Acting and Interim holders of the office are not included in the Payout Criterion.
- Persons confirmed by the Senate to be that position, or appointed via a “recess appointment” are included, even if that recess appointment is later struck down as illegal.
- If the first new person to be Secretary of Labor is Patrick Pizzella before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first new person to be Secretary of Labor is Bryan Slater before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first new person to be Secretary of Labor is Jonathan Berry before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Tendencia de volumen
$102 jul23d de datos27 jul
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If the first new person to be Secretary of Labor is Keith Sonderling before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Acting and Interim holders of the office are not included in the Payout Criterion.
- Persons confirmed by the Senate to be that position, or appointed via a “recess appointment” are included, even if that recess appointment is later struck down as illegal.
- If the first new person to be Secretary of Labor is Patrick Pizzella before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first new person to be Secretary of Labor is Bryan Slater before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first new person to be Secretary of Labor is Jonathan Berry before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.