KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Before Dec 1, 2026 15%Líder entre 4 opciones
Calidad del mercado
35 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
194,8 €
Liquidez
2,5 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
10.0 pt
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 minutos
6 ago 26, 14:00 UTC1 nov 26, 3:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
When will the first hurricane form in the Atlantic in 2026?
PolymarketWhen will the next Atlantic hurricane form?
KalshiWill any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
PolymarketWill any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
PolymarketWill any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the United States by September 30, 2026?
ForecastExWill any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the United States by November 30, 2026?
ForecastExReglas
If a hurricane (wind speeds of at least 157 mph) forms in the Atlantic the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
Mercados abiertos
WeatherPOLYMARKETHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 9?
- 32°C+90.5pt100%
- 25°C or below-0.1pt0%
- 26°C0%
+8 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 141,1 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 129,1 mil €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Munich on September 9?
- 22°C+77.4pt100%
- 17°C or below-1.1pt0%
- 18°C-4.0pt0%
+8 resultados más
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
- 27°C+68.5pt100%
- 21°C or below-0.3pt0%
- 22°C-0.9pt0%
+8 resultados más
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 9, 2026?
- 93° or above87.6%
- 91° to 92°7.6%
- 89° to 90°1.9%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 72,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 71,8 mil €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 9, 2026?
- Miami+44.0pt99%
- Chicago+13.0pt99%
- Houston64%
+19 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 71,6 mil €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 9?
- 28°C+47.0pt100%
- 24°C or below0%
- 25°C-0.1pt0%
+8 resultados más
- Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Milan on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Chongqing on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 9?
- Highest temperature in London on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Taipei on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 9?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de When will the next Category 5 hurricane form??
- Kalshi cotiza Before Dec 1, 2026 al 15% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve When will the next Category 5 hurricane form??
- Está previsto que When will the next Category 5 hurricane form? se resuelva el 1 de noviembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida When will the next Category 5 hurricane form??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If a hurricane (wind speeds of at least 157 mph) forms in the Atlantic the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.