KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaProbabilidad implícita actualRepublicans, 24+ pts 66%-8.0%Líder entre 9 opciones
Calidad del mercado
52 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
2,8 mil €
Liquidez
1,6 mil €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
63.0% / 68.0%
Spread
7.9%
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 21 minutos
5 may 26, 20:253 nov 27, 15:00
Tendencias
0%
0%
0%
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Republicans, 24+ pts66%
Tendencia de volumen
$3.2k24 jul3d de datos26 jul
Mercados Relacionados
Massachusetts's 7th District margin of victory
2,9 mil €Democrats, 76+ pts: 82%KALSHI
KALSHITennessee's 8th District margin of victory
2,6 mil €Republicans, 25+ pts: 63%KALSHI
KALSHIFlorida's 10th District margin of victory
2,5 mil €Democrats, 45+ pts: 97%KALSHI
KALSHITexas Senate margin of victory
406,4 €Ken Paxton, 3+ pts: 45%KALSHI
KALSHINew Hampshire Senate margin of victory
264,6 €Democrats, 4+ pts: 67%KALSHI
KALSHIMichigan's 7th District margin of victory
263,7 €Democrats, 10+ pts: 16%KALSHI
KALSHIActivos en estos temas
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If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S.
- House of Representatives election in Tennessee's 4th District by 24 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Republican Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Republican Party if the Republican Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Republican Party loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.