KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPunto medio del libro seleccionado
Above 190 · —
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Precio guardado
Above 190 98.5%Líder entre 6 opciones
Above 190 98.5%Calidad del mercado
68 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
17,5 mil €
Interés abierto
7,8 mil US$
Interés abierto medioCompra / Venta
— / —
Above 190Spread
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Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 minutos
15 oct 26, 20:45 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Kalshi
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Cierre anticipado:
- Sí
- Plazo de liquidación:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidad de mercado · Above 190
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PolymarketReglas
If the Producer Price Index by Commodity: Lumber and Wood Products: Softwood Lumber (BLS series WPU0811; not seasonally adjusted; index 1982=100) is above 310 index points in any eligible initial monthly publication released strictly after this market's actual first issuance and before January 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM EST, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The source is the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). The exact statistic is Producer Price Index by Commodity: Lumber and Wood Products: Softwood Lumber, series WPU0811, not seasonally adjusted, index 1982=100. Values are index points, not dollar lumber prices. FRED (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/WPU0811) republishes this BLS series; the BLS publication time and original value control. For each market, the eligibility window begins strictly after that market's actual first issuance and ends strictly before January 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM EST. A publication already released at or before issuance does not count, including a release earlier on listing day. A subsequently added market has its own issuance time. The observation month may precede issuance: eligibility is determined by publication time. Use the initial BLS publication for each monthly observation, including a preliminary publication. This expressly selects initial publications instead of waiting for the first non-preliminary release. Subsequent revisions and corrections do not count. Publications at or after the deadline do not count, even if their observation month is in 2026. A current FRED chart containing revised history must not be used in place of the original release. Above means strictly greater than the strike, using the BLS-reported precision without additional rounding. A qualifying publication permits early Yes settlement. If none exceeds the strike by the deadline, including when there are no eligible publications, the condition is not met and the market resolves to No, subject to the Contract's normal data-unavailability and market-outcome-review contingencies.
Reglas de cada resultado
- Above 190
- If the Producer Price Index by Commodity: Lumber and Wood Products: Softwood Lumber (BLS series WPU0811; not seasonally adjusted; index 1982=100) is above 190 index points in any eligible initial monthly publication released strictly after this market's actual first issuance and before January 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM EST, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 310
- If the Producer Price Index by Commodity: Lumber and Wood Products: Softwood Lumber (BLS series WPU0811; not seasonally adjusted; index 1982=100) is above 310 index points in any eligible initial monthly publication released strictly after this market's actual first issuance and before January 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM EST, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 320
- If the Producer Price Index by Commodity: Lumber and Wood Products: Softwood Lumber (BLS series WPU0811; not seasonally adjusted; index 1982=100) is above 320 index points in any eligible initial monthly publication released strictly after this market's actual first issuance and before January 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM EST, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 330
- If the Producer Price Index by Commodity: Lumber and Wood Products: Softwood Lumber (BLS series WPU0811; not seasonally adjusted; index 1982=100) is above 330 index points in any eligible initial monthly publication released strictly after this market's actual first issuance and before January 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM EST, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 290
- If the Producer Price Index by Commodity: Lumber and Wood Products: Softwood Lumber (BLS series WPU0811; not seasonally adjusted; index 1982=100) is above 290 index points in any eligible initial monthly publication released strictly after this market's actual first issuance and before January 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM EST, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 300
- If the Producer Price Index by Commodity: Lumber and Wood Products: Softwood Lumber (BLS series WPU0811; not seasonally adjusted; index 1982=100) is above 300 index points in any eligible initial monthly publication released strictly after this market's actual first issuance and before January 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM EST, then the market resolves to Yes.