KalshiCerradoComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoEste mercado se resolvió: Socialism / Socialist (98%)
Resuelto: 11 sept 2026, 13:56
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Aviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 11 sept 2026, 13:20 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Cronología de Probabilidad
Socialism / Socialist98%
SAVE America Act / SAVE Act99%
Trump (3+ times)37%
Border79%
Tax Cut / Cut Tax79%
Election / Midterm80%
Democrat80%
Transgender1%
Immigrant / Immigration1%
Talarico1%
Supreme Court1%
Schumer1%
Shutdown / Shut Down60%
Event does not qualify1%
SAVE America Act / SAVE ActPerdida
Trump (3+ times)Perdida
BorderPerdida
Tax Cut / Cut TaxPerdida
Election / MidtermPerdida
DemocratPerdida
Socialism / SocialistGanada
TransgenderPerdida
Immigrant / ImmigrationPerdida
TalaricoPerdida
Supreme CourtPerdida
SchumerPerdida
Shutdown / Shut DownPerdida
Event does not qualifyPerdida
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Mike Johnson remain Speaker of the House through the 2026 US Midterm elections?
FutuurMike Johnson gone as House speaker before Nov 3 2026?
Manifold MarketsMike Johnson out as Speaker of the House?
KalshiWill Mike Johnson win the Louisiana 4th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExMike Johnson out as Speaker by which date?
PolymarketWill Mike Johnson be removed as Speaker before 2027?
Manifold MarketsReglas
Reglas archivadas a nivel de evento. Los términos exactos de cada resultado ya no están disponibles.
If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSAxiosCNNReutersThe New York TimesThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPolitico
- How this is resolved Video of the RNC Midterm Convention using the live broadcast or stream.
- If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the RNC Midterm Convention will be used.
- Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
- Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
- Mike Johnson speaking in an official capacity.