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CoinRithm

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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (5/18 - 5/24)
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (5/18 - 5/24)

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (5/18 - 5/24)

70.0% (24h)
KalshiKalshiCerradoComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisión

Este mercado se resolvió: Above 40 (97%)

Resuelto: 27 may 2026, 13:53

Resultado Ganador

Above 40

A 7 días

—

A 24 horas

51%

Probabilidad implícita actual
Above 40
Above 40 97%+70.0%
Líder entre 10 opciones
Calidad del mercado

63 / 100

Calidad media
Volumen 24h

807,1 €

Liquidez

1,3 mil €

Baja liquidez
Compra / Venta

96.0% / 97.0%

Spread

1.0%

Spread estrecho
Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 17 días

Desactualizado
19 may 26, 14:1024 ago 26, 14:00

Cronología de Probabilidad

Above 4097%
Above 3099%
Above 501%
Above 2586%
Above 2098%
Above 1587%
Above 753%
Above 1099%
Above 1003%
Above 599%
0%25%50%75%100%26 may26 may27 may
Resultado24hProbabilidad
Above 40
Above 40
+70.0%
97%
Above 30
Above 30
+41.0%
99%
Above 50
Above 50
-8.0%
1%
Above 25
Above 25
+68.0%
99%
Above 20
Above 20
+33.0%
98%
Above 15
Above 15
+4.0%
99%

Este mercado ha cerrado. El trading simulado solo está disponible en mercados abiertos.

Reglas

If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 5 from May 18, 2026 to May 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The total is calculated by summing daily counts from May 18, 2026 to May 24, 2026.
  • The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
  • If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 10 from May 18, 2026 to May 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 15 from May 18, 2026 to May 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 20 from May 18, 2026 to May 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Mercados Relacionados

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (6/8 - 6/14)

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (6/8 - 6/14)

125,5 €
Above 30: 31%KalshiKALSHI

Reglas

If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 5 from May 18, 2026 to May 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The total is calculated by summing daily counts from May 18, 2026 to May 24, 2026.
  • The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
  • If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 10 from May 18, 2026 to May 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 15 from May 18, 2026 to May 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 20 from May 18, 2026 to May 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.