Will the maximum temperature at Houston Hobby Airport be at least 103°F in Aug 2026?

WeatherDaily1m

KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximada

Probabilidad implícita actual

No 65%

Calidad del mercado

80 / 100

Alta calidad

Volumen 24h

22,5 mil €

Liquidez

22,4 mil €

Alta liquidez

Compra / Venta

34.0% / 35.0%

Spread

1.0 pt

Spread estrecho

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 16 minutos

24 jul 26, 21:301 sept 26, 3:59

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero

Resultado elegido

Yes35%

Apuesta (USDT)

Reglas

If a daily maximum air temperature of at least 103°F occurs in Houston, Texas, at Houston Hobby Airport in August 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service, then the market resolves to Yes.

The weather event must be explicitly identified and recorded in official reports, bulletins, advisories, or databases maintained by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service with jurisdiction over the specified area.
Only the first published version confirming the event is used for resolution.
For weather events defined by quantitative thresholds (hurricanes by sustained wind speed, tornadoes by Enhanced Fujita scale rating, heatwaves by temperature criteria, etc.), the determination follows official standards used by the Source Agency at the time of the event.
A recording of "T" for Trace is considered above 0.00 inches but not necessarily above a specific positive number.
Forecasts, projections, outlooks, or informal media mentions that do not result in confirmed occurrences do not qualify.

Tendencia de volumen

$25.6k

27 jul2d de datos28 jul

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Reglas

If a daily maximum air temperature of at least 103°F occurs in Houston, Texas, at Houston Hobby Airport in August 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service, then the market resolves to Yes.

The weather event must be explicitly identified and recorded in official reports, bulletins, advisories, or databases maintained by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service with jurisdiction over the specified area.
Only the first published version confirming the event is used for resolution.
For weather events defined by quantitative thresholds (hurricanes by sustained wind speed, tornadoes by Enhanced Fujita scale rating, heatwaves by temperature criteria, etc.), the determination follows official standards used by the Source Agency at the time of the event.
A recording of "T" for Trace is considered above 0.00 inches but not necessarily above a specific positive number.
Forecasts, projections, outlooks, or informal media mentions that do not result in confirmed occurrences do not qualify.

Will the maximum temperature at Houston Hobby Airport be at least 103°F in Aug 2026?

WeatherDaily1m

KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximada

Probabilidad implícita actual

No 65%

Calidad del mercado

80 / 100

Alta calidad

Volumen 24h

22,5 mil €

Liquidez

22,4 mil €

Alta liquidez

Compra / Venta

34.0% / 35.0%

Spread

1.0 pt

Spread estrecho

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 16 minutos

24 jul 26, 21:301 sept 26, 3:59

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero

Resultado elegido

Yes35%

Apuesta (USDT)

Reglas

If a daily maximum air temperature of at least 103°F occurs in Houston, Texas, at Houston Hobby Airport in August 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service, then the market resolves to Yes.

The weather event must be explicitly identified and recorded in official reports, bulletins, advisories, or databases maintained by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service with jurisdiction over the specified area.
Only the first published version confirming the event is used for resolution.
For weather events defined by quantitative thresholds (hurricanes by sustained wind speed, tornadoes by Enhanced Fujita scale rating, heatwaves by temperature criteria, etc.), the determination follows official standards used by the Source Agency at the time of the event.
A recording of "T" for Trace is considered above 0.00 inches but not necessarily above a specific positive number.
Forecasts, projections, outlooks, or informal media mentions that do not result in confirmed occurrences do not qualify.

Tendencia de volumen

$25.6k

27 jul2d de datos28 jul

Mercados Relacionados

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210,1 mil €

29°C: 100%

POLYMARKET

Highest temperature in Wellington on July 28?

120,8 mil €

13°C: 100%

POLYMARKET

Highest temperature in Seoul on July 28?

104,1 mil €

30°C: 99%

POLYMARKET

Highest temperature in LA on Jul 28, 2026?

81,1 mil €

84° or above: 5%

KALSHI

Highest temperature in NYC on Jul 28, 2026?

38,4 mil €

79° to 80°: 50%

KALSHI

Highest temperature in Miami on Jul 28, 2026?

22 mil €

88° to 89°: 6%

KALSHI

Activos en estos temas

BitcoinBTC$63,456.21-2.70%

EthereumETH$1,882.63-3.95%

SolanaSOL$73.39-3.87%

XRPXRP$1.06-4.56%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0701-3.27%

BNBBNB$566.19-1.05%

Reglas

If a daily maximum air temperature of at least 103°F occurs in Houston, Texas, at Houston Hobby Airport in August 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service, then the market resolves to Yes.

The weather event must be explicitly identified and recorded in official reports, bulletins, advisories, or databases maintained by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service with jurisdiction over the specified area.
Only the first published version confirming the event is used for resolution.
For weather events defined by quantitative thresholds (hurricanes by sustained wind speed, tornadoes by Enhanced Fujita scale rating, heatwaves by temperature criteria, etc.), the determination follows official standards used by the Source Agency at the time of the event.
A recording of "T" for Trace is considered above 0.00 inches but not necessarily above a specific positive number.
Forecasts, projections, outlooks, or informal media mentions that do not result in confirmed occurrences do not qualify.