KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaProbabilidad implícita actual71° to 72° 44.1%Líder entre 6 opciones
Calidad del mercado
75 / 100
Alta calidadVolumen 24h
12,1 mil €
Liquidez
9,7 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
11.0% / 12.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 18 minutos
28 jul 26, 14:0030 jul 26, 8:00
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
68° or below13%
Comparar plataformas· 71° to 72°
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiEsta páginaMejor en general | Alta | 45% | — | 12,1 mil € | 9,7 mil € | hace 18 minutos | |
 Polymarket86% de coincidencia · auto | Media | 44% | — | 10,7 mil € | 12,4 mil € | hace 18 minutos | Abrir → |
También disponible en Polymarket
Highest temperature in San Francisco on July 29?
1.5 pts1h
+20.5pt46.3%
-18.0pt23.2%
+11.5pt20%
+8 resultados más
71 • Calidad mediaSpread estrechoLiquidez mediaAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total12,1 mil €
Volumen 24h10,7 mil €
POLYMARKETReglas
If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco for Jul 29, 2026, is less than 69° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLISFO can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mtr, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "San Francisco Airport" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Tendencia de volumen
$13.7k28 jul2d de datos29 jul
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If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco for Jul 29, 2026, is less than 69° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLISFO can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mtr, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "San Francisco Airport" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.